RobotRisk Autonomous Systems Incident & Risk Register
RobotRisk / av trucking / Tesla

Tesla

Products: AV stack, Humanoid, Robotaxi. Risk band: High   RobotRisk index 63.5/100 (incidents/exposure, time-weighted) · 99th percentile of 89 av trucking companies.

Analyst brief

The record contains twenty entries from January 2025 through July 2026, with an index of 64 at the 98.9 percentile within av-trucking, second in volume only to Waymo. The record includes two fatalities involving Autopilot or FSD engagement, a federal jury finding of partial liability in a prior fatal Autopilot crash, multiple robotaxi crashes during Austin and Houston operations, NHTSA probes into FSD behavior and crash-report redaction, and separate industrial-safety entries involving a robotic arm and the Optimus humanoid platform malfunctioning during demonstrations. The mix combines regulator-driven items, including NHTSA investigations and litigation, with press-reported crashes and a cited third-party finding that robotaxi crash rates substantially exceed human drivers. The eighteen-month span with entries recurring most months, spanning software, hardware, and manufacturing operations, reflects a sustained multi-domain pattern rather than an isolated incident.

Entries by year and severity

6112016 S5: 11162018 S5: 11182019 S5: 11192022 S3: 12022 S5: 12222023 S3: 12023 S4: 12023 S5: 24232024 S2: 22024 S3: 22024 S4: 12024 S5: 49242025 S1: 12025 S2: 52025 S3: 22025 S4: 22025 S5: 111252026 S2: 22026 S3: 42026 S5: 1726
S1S2S3S4S5

By incident type

By severity

RobotRisk index vs av trucking alternatives

Comparisons over time

RobotRisk index over time

Yearly entries vs category average

crash over time vs category

fatality over time vs category

regulatory over time vs category

malfunction over time vs category

Incident log (41 unique incidents)

SevDateTypeLocationIncidentSource
S309/03
2026
regulatory Austin, TX, USANHTSA opens Audit Query AQ26002 into Tesla Cybercab certification · ~1,000 Cybercabs Motor1 / TechCrunch
S309/2026 crash NHTSA SGO record: 24 ADS crash reports on file · 24 reports NHTSA SGO
S308/2026 crash Austin, TX, USATesla Robotaxi (Model Y) crashes through bollards in Austin, no driver present · 1 vehicle Motor1
S207/2026 malfunction Tampa, FL, USATesla robotaxi drives wrong-way in Tampa WFLA
S506/20
2026
fatality Katy, TX, USATesla crashes into Texas home, killing woman inside; Autopilot engagement disputed Fortune
S205/2026 crash Houston, TX, USATesla remote-operator-controlled Robotaxi crashes in Houston Electrek
S303/16
2026
crash Austin, TX, USATesla discloses another unsupervised Robotaxi crash in Austin electrek.co
S312/16
2025
crash Austin, TX, USAReport: Tesla robotaxis crashing over 12x more frequently than human drivers Common Dreams
S112/2025 malfunction Miami, FL, USAOptimus falls backward and collapses during Miami 'Autonomy Visualized' demo · 1 unit Electrek
S310/24
2025
regulatory USANHTSA probes Tesla 'Mad Max' FSD mode over reckless driving behavior Reuters
S510/06
2025 · 21:25 local
fatality Seminole County, FL, USATesla driver killed after Autopilot/FSD stopped car in live highway lane, rear-ended by semi futurism.com
S209/22
2025
crash Austin, TX, USATesla robotaxi involved in multiple crashes on first day of Austin test expansion Ars Technica
S408/18
2025
crash Houston, TX, USATesla Cybertruck on Full Self-Driving attempts to drive off Houston overpass Jalopnik
S408/01
2025
regulatory Key Largo, FL, USAFederal jury finds Tesla 33% liable in fatal 2019 Key Largo Autopilot crash · 1 fatality; jury verdict against Tesla Wikipedia
S206/24
2025
crash Austin, TX, USATesla robotaxi involved in first collision during Austin testing InsideEVs
S202/2025 crash Reno, NV, USATesla Cybertruck in self-driving mode crashes into pole near Reno school Reno Gazette Journal
S201/07
2025
malfunction USATesla 'Actually Smart Summon' Linked to ~16 Parking Lot Collisions · ~16 collisions across ~2,600,000 vehic… Washington Post
S201/07
2025
crash USATesla's 'Actually Smart Summon' Feature Reportedly Linked to Multiple Parking Lot Collisions · Multiple vehicles Washington Post
S510/18
2024
fatality USAUS probes Tesla Full Self-Driving system after pedestrian killed NPR
S510/18
2024
regulatory USANHTSA investigates Tesla Full Self-Driving after crashes including a fatality Green Car Reports
S308/2024 fire USATesla Semi truck catches fire in US ahead of European showcase Trans.INFO
S308/2024 crash Northern California, USATesla Semi crash in Northern California investigated by NTSB KTVU
S206/2024 crash Fullerton, CA, USATesla in Autopilot Mode Hits Parked Police Vehicle in Fullerton, CA · 1 vehicle KTLA
S205/08
2024
malfunction OH, USATesla on Full Self-Driving nearly drives into passing train Boing Boing
S404/26
2024
regulatory NHTSA investigation finds Autopilot contributed to 467 crashes including 13 fatal · 956 crashes reviewed; 467 attributed; … NHTSA
S504/19
2024
fatality Maltby, WA, USATesla in Full Self-Driving mode killed Seattle-area motorcyclist Reuters
S504/19
2024 · 15:54 PT
fatality Snohomish County, WA, USAFatal FSD crash kills motorcyclist, Snohomish County WA · 1 fatality Wikipedia
S312/13
2023
recall NHTSA recall of over 2 million Tesla vehicles for inadequate Autopilot driver monitoring · over 2,000,000 vehicles Wikipedia
S511/2023 fatality AZ, USATesla on Full Self-Driving kills pedestrian on Arizona interstate Carscoops
S407/22
2023
injury Fremont, CA, USAFormer factory worker sues Tesla after robotic arm knocks him unconscious Manufacturing Dive
S502/18
2023
fatality CA, USACalifornia family blames Musk for son's death in Tesla Autopilot crash The Independent
S308/2022 malfunction NHTSA finds 60 FSD Beta crashes and one fatality over 12-month period · 60 crashes, 1 fatality Wikipedia
S505/16
2022
fatality CO, USATesla Autopilot drove car into tree, killing Colorado man The Denver Post
S504/25
2019
fatality FL, USAFatal Autopilot crash (2019 Key Largo crash) - Tesla later hit with $243M jury verdict NBC News
S503/23
2018 · ~09:27
fatality Mountain View, CA, USAAutopilot fatality of Apple engineer Walter Huang, Mountain View, California · 1 fatality NTSB
S505/07
2016
fatality Williston, FL, USAFirst US Autopilot fatality: Joshua Brown, Williston, Florida · 1 fatality NTSB
S3 regulatory Austin, TX, USATesla accused of redacting details of three robotaxi accidents in crash reports Electrek
S2 crash Austin, TX, USATesla Robotaxis Involved in Four Crashes Despite Safety Monitors Onboard The Drive
S2 crash MD, USADriverless Tesla using Smart Summon crashes into parked car in Maryland drive.com.au
S1 malfunction USATesla Cybertruck on FSD nearly turns into oncoming SUV Futurism
S3 recall NHTSA forces recall of 362,758 Full Self-Driving Beta vehicles · 362,758 vehicles PBS NewsHour
S3 injury Fremont, CA, USAOptimus robot allegedly pins and injures Fremont plant worker · 1 unit / 1 worker injured CBS8
24 individual reports under the SGO regulator record (supporting filings, not counted as incidents)
SevDateTypeReportSource
S206/2026
15:17
crash SGO 13781-15809: crash with SUV in Austin, TX · report 13781-15809 v1 NHTSA SGO
S206/2026
20:58
crash SGO 13781-15808: crash with Passenger Car in Dallas, TX · report 13781-15808 v1 NHTSA SGO
S206/2026
14:32
crash SGO 13781-15342: crash with SUV in Austin, TX · report 13781-15342 v1 NHTSA SGO
S205/2026
14:24
crash SGO 13781-15400: crash with Heavy Truck in Austin, TX · report 13781-15400 v1 NHTSA SGO
S205/2026
14:19
crash SGO 13781-15399: crash with Other Fixed Object in Dallas, TX · report 13781-15399 v1 NHTSA SGO
S205/2026
14:26
crash SGO 13781-15395: crash with Pole / Tree in Houston, TX · report 13781-15395 v1 NHTSA SGO
S204/2026
13:05
crash SGO 13781-15017: crash with Pickup Truck in Austin, TX · report 13781-15017 v1 NHTSA SGO
S203/2026
12:34
crash SGO 13781-14631: crash with Passenger Car in Austin, TX · report 13781-14631 v1 NHTSA SGO
S203/2026
12:42
crash SGO 13781-14630: crash with Pickup Truck in Austin, TX · report 13781-14630 v1 NHTSA SGO
S201/2026
16:56
crash SGO 13781-13645: crash with Pole / Tree in Austin, TX · report 13781-13645 v2 NHTSA SGO
S201/2026
02:23
crash SGO 13781-13646: crash with Other Fixed Object in Austin, TX · report 13781-13646 v2 NHTSA SGO
S201/2026
14:38
crash SGO 13781-13644: crash with Heavy Truck in Austin, TX · report 13781-13644 v2 NHTSA SGO
S201/2026
02:36
crash SGO 13781-13648: crash with Bus in Austin, TX · report 13781-13648 v2 NHTSA SGO
S201/2026
03:44
crash SGO 13781-14043: crash with Other Fixed Object in Austin, TX · report 13781-14043 v2 NHTSA SGO
S212/2025
22:20
crash SGO 13781-13647: crash with Other Fixed Object in Austin, TX · report 13781-13647 v2 NHTSA SGO
S211/2025
22:24
crash SGO 13781-13237: crash with Other, see Narrative in Austin, TX · report 13781-13237 v2 NHTSA SGO
S210/2025
01:28
crash SGO 13781-11986: crash with Other, see Narrative in Austin, TX · report 13781-11986 v3 NHTSA SGO
S209/2025
13:08
crash SGO 13781-11787: crash with Animal in Austin, TX · report 13781-11787 v2 NHTSA SGO
S209/2025
20:42
crash SGO 13781-11784: crash with Passenger Car in Austin, TX · report 13781-11784 v2 NHTSA SGO
S209/2025
01:25
crash SGO 13781-11687: crash with Other Fixed Object in Austin, TX · report 13781-11687 v3 NHTSA SGO
S209/2025
03:43
crash SGO 13781-11786: crash with Non-Motorist: Cyclist in Austin, TX · report 13781-11786 v2 NHTSA SGO
S207/2025
12:20
crash SGO 13781-11459: crash with Other Fixed Object in Austin, TX · report 13781-11459 v3 NHTSA SGO
S207/2025
03:45
crash SGO 13781-11507: crash with SUV in Austin, TX · report 13781-11507 v2 NHTSA SGO
S207/2025
15:15
crash SGO 13781-11375: crash with SUV in Austin, TX · report 13781-11375 v4 NHTSA SGO

Alternatives in av trucking

WaymoMay MobilityCruiseZooxMotionalAuroraBaidu Apollo GoNuro
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