RobotRisk Autonomous Systems Incident & Risk Register
RobotRisk / defense space / General Atomics Aeronautical Systems

General Atomics Aeronautical Systems

Products: uas. Risk band: Elevated   RobotRisk index 29.2/100 (incidents/exposure, time-weighted) · 99th percentile of 118 defense space companies.

Analyst brief

The record contains two entries, both from August 2026, concerning MQ-9 Reaper drone losses, with an index of 30.7 at the 100th percentile of the defense-space category. One entry attributes a single aircraft loss to a chafed wire; the second reports that roughly one-quarter of the deployed MQ-9 fleet was lost during operations in the Iran conflict. Both entries carry severity 4 and describe mission-loss and crash outcomes rather than casualties. The two-entry record concentrated in a single month reflects a cluster of fleet-level attrition events rather than an extended pattern, and the record is press-driven rather than regulator-driven.

Entries by year and severity

012025 S4: 11252026 S4: 1126
S1S2S3S4S5

By incident type

By severity

RobotRisk index vs defense space alternatives

Comparisons over time

RobotRisk index over time

Yearly entries vs category average

mission-loss over time vs category

crash over time vs category

Incident log (2 unique incidents)

SevDateTypeLocationIncidentSource
S408/13
2026
mission-loss US lost roughly 25% of MQ-9 Reaper drone fleet during Iran war · 25% of US Reaper fleet (~45 aircraft) … The Washington Post / Je
S408/31
2025
crash MQ-9 Reaper lost in Middle East due to chafed wire · 1 aircraft Air & Space Forces Magaz

Alternatives in defense space

Katalyst Space TechnologiesBaykarJAXAKratos Defense & Security SolutionsTurkish Aerospace IndustriesTekeverSpace Machines CompanyMomentus
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