RobotRisk Autonomous Systems Incident & Risk Register
RobotRisk / defense space / Baykar

Baykar

Products: uas, loitering-munition. Risk band: Elevated   RobotRisk index 26.2/100 (incidents/exposure, time-weighted) · 98th percentile of 118 defense space companies.

Analyst brief

Two entries populate the record, both severity 4 losses of Bayraktar Akıncı unmanned aircraft: a 2025 crash in Libya and a 2026 shootdown over Yemen described as the type's first confirmed combat loss. Both are airframe-loss events in active conflict zones, one attributed to hostile action and one unspecified by cause in the data, with no injury, cyber, or regulatory entries present. The record is press-driven, consistent with combat-loss reporting rather than safety-regulator findings. At index 26.4 and the 99.1th percentile of defense-space, Baykar ranks near the top of its category despite only two rows, reflecting the uniform severity-4 weighting of both entries. The pattern is narrow and single-mode: total airframe loss in contested airspace, with no other failure type represented.

Entries by year and severity

012025 S4: 11252026 S4: 1126
S1S2S3S4S5

By incident type

By severity

RobotRisk index vs defense space alternatives

Comparisons over time

RobotRisk index over time

Yearly entries vs category average

crash over time vs category

Incident log (2 unique incidents)

SevDateTypeLocationIncidentSource
S407/26
2026
crash Bayraktar Akıncı shot down over Yemen (first confirmed combat loss) Defence Security Asia
S401/2025 crash LibyaBayraktar Akıncı drone crashes in Libya Military Africa

Alternatives in defense space

Katalyst Space TechnologiesGeneral Atomics Aeronautical SystemsJAXAKratos Defense & Security SolutionsTurkish Aerospace IndustriesTekeverSpace Machines CompanyMomentus
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