RobotRisk Autonomous Systems Incident & Risk Register
RobotRisk / defense space / JAXA

JAXA

Products: lunar-lander, rover. Risk band: Elevated   RobotRisk index 24.2/100 (incidents/exposure, time-weighted) · 97th percentile of 118 defense space companies.

Analyst brief

The register carries a single entry for JAXA: a December 2025 H3 rocket failure during launch of a navigation satellite, coded mission-loss with a severity of 4. One event places the agency at the 98.3rd percentile of its defense-space peer set with an elevated index of 24.4, reflecting the high severity weight assigned to a launch failure rather than a pattern of repeated incidents. The record is press-driven, anchored to a single dated launch event rather than an accumulation of regulatory findings. No trajectory can be established from one data point; the standing here is a function of severity and category concentration, not frequency.

Entries by year and severity

012025 S4: 1125
S1S2S3S4S5

By incident type

By severity

RobotRisk index vs defense space alternatives

Comparisons over time

RobotRisk index over time

Yearly entries vs category average

mission-loss over time vs category

Incident log (1 unique incidents)

SevDateTypeLocationIncidentSource
S412/22
2025
mission-loss JapanJapanese H3 rocket fails during launch of navigation satellite Space.com / Asahi

Alternatives in defense space

Katalyst Space TechnologiesGeneral Atomics Aeronautical SystemsBaykarKratos Defense & Security SolutionsTurkish Aerospace IndustriesTekeverSpace Machines CompanyMomentus
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